REFLEXIVE PEACE PRACTICE (RPP) TAFAKARI

Cabo Delgado registered a further localized security incident, with insurgents burning four houses in Intutupue village, Ancuabe district, on 22 July, causing residents to flee without reported fatalities, a pattern of low-casualty, high-disruption arson attacks that Zitamar News's independent monitoring has linked to a deliberate intimidation tactic in the same district. The fuel shortage reaching Montepuez on 23 July compounded this insecurity by further restricting civilian mobility. Meanwhile, the government pressed ahead with a significant economic agenda, the 2026-2030 Integrated Investment Programme, Maputo Port expansion, and a claimed US$50 billion mobilized across the Rovuma Basin gas projects, even as President Chapo publicly rejected IMF-linked cost-of-living proposals, per Africa Confidential's reporting on the ongoing debt and fiscal talks. Xenophobic violence in South Africa continued to generate returnee flows into Manica and other provinces, met partly by a substantial Japanese food donation to families displaced in Cabo Delgado. This mix of continuing low-intensity insecurity, economic ambition and humanitarian strain justifies maintaining a score of 3.